Internacional vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
8.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1977 |
SCI
3 - 1
CUE
86%
10%
4%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
SCI
1 - 0
COR
66%
22%
12%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1977 |
NAC
2 - 0
SCI
13%
23%
64%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
CUE
0 - 2
SCI
15%
23%
62%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
COR
1 - 1
SCI
36%
29%
36%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1977 |
COR
3 - 0
NAC
76%
16%
9%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
CUE
0 - 2
NAC
60%
20%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1977 |
NAC
2 - 0
SCI
13%
23%
64%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 1977 |
NAC
2 - 1
COR
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
NAC
0 - 0
CUE
51%
22%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |