Internacional vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.5%
4.7%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 1
SCI
47%
27%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
PEL
0 - 1
SCI
12%
21%
68%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SCI
4 - 1
CRU
83%
13%
3%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
SCI
2 - 1
SAO
85%
12%
3%
|
81 | 42 | 39 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
PAS
1 - 2
SCI
11%
20%
69%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CAX
3 - 0
ECS
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
LAJ
1 - 0
CAX
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 0
CAX
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CAX
0 - 1
BRA
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
CAX
4 - 2
AIM
73%
19%
9%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |