Internacional vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.7%
5.1%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
SCI
4 - 0
CAN
90%
8%
2%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 2
SCI
7%
17%
76%
|
86 | 49 | 37 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SCI
2 - 1
GRE
49%
26%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
SCI
3 - 0
ECA
89%
9%
2%
|
85 | 48 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
JUV
3 - 3
SCI
19%
23%
58%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 2
CAX
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
VER
1 - 3
CAX
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
CAX
4 - 0
GRE
11%
19%
70%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | +3 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ECS
4 - 3
CAX
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
YPI
1 - 1
CAX
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |