Internacional SC vs Naçao Esportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
40.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
HER
3 - 3
INT
78%
16%
7%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
INT
2 - 3
AVA
5%
16%
79%
|
35 | 75 | 40 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
JEC
2 - 1
INT
71%
18%
10%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
INT
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
INT
0 - 0
CAC
11%
21%
68%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Naçao Esportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CRI
1 - 0
NES
88%
10%
2%
|
36 | 80 | 44 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
NES
1 - 0
BRU
8%
17%
76%
|
35 | 70 | 35 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAC
3 - 2
NES
65%
21%
15%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
NES
0 - 4
BAR
22%
22%
56%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AVA
3 - 2
NES
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 75 | 38 | 0 |