Catarinense 2 Eliminatorias Final
Global 1-3
Internacional SC vs Naçao Esportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
43%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SCA
2 - 2
INT
37%
22%
41%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
INT
4 - 2
SCA
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 1
INT
67%
20%
13%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
INT
1 - 1
JUV
17%
24%
58%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
INT
0 - 0
SCA
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Naçao Esportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
NES
1 - 1
GUA
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
NES
41%
23%
37%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
NES
1 - 0
CFC
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CFC
1 - 0
NES
23%
20%
57%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
NES
3 - 2
MET
39%
22%
39%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |