Internacional SC vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CHA
5 - 0
INT
79%
15%
7%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
INT
0 - 1
GUA
63%
21%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
INT
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
INT
3 - 2
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
INT
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MET
1 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 0
MET
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MET
1 - 1
TOM
56%
23%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BOA
0 - 6
MET
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MET
1 - 1
LON
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |