Internacional SC vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
INT
1 - 1
JEC
15%
20%
65%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
FFL
2 - 1
INT
84%
11%
5%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
INT
1 - 1
MET
40%
25%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CHA
5 - 0
INT
79%
15%
7%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
INT
0 - 1
GUA
63%
21%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
HER
42%
26%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
JEC
1 - 0
MAR
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 3
FFL
16%
23%
61%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MET
1 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
HER
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |