Internacional SC vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
57.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MET
1 - 0
INT
33%
24%
44%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
INT
2 - 1
TUB
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
INT
1 - 1
CRI
14%
18%
68%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
FFL
2 - 0
INT
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
INT
2 - 0
LIT
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
TUB
2 - 0
JEC
20%
25%
55%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
COM
0 - 1
JEC
13%
23%
64%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
JEC
0 - 0
AVA
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
JEC
1 - 0
MET
64%
23%
13%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
ATM
2 - 0
JEC
76%
17%
8%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |