Internacional SC vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
64.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 1
INT
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
INT
0 - 3
BRU
38%
24%
39%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
INT
4 - 1
JEC
21%
22%
57%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MET
1 - 0
INT
33%
24%
44%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
INT
2 - 1
TUB
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
ZUL
1 - 2
CHA
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SBO
2 - 1
CHA
20%
24%
56%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
CRI
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 2
ATM
31%
26%
44%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
JEC
0 - 1
CHA
15%
24%
61%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |