Internacional SC vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
61.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
INT
31%
24%
45%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
INT
3 - 1
CRI
18%
21%
61%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
HER
2 - 2
INT
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
INT
2 - 1
MAR
35%
24%
41%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
INT
1 - 1
JEC
15%
20%
65%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 1
FFL
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 2
AVA
14%
20%
66%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 4
AVA
23%
24%
53%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 2
MET
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
AVA
0 - 1
CHA
30%
27%
44%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |