CAF Champions Last 16
Global 2-2
Interclube vs Al-Merreikh SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Interclube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
INT
0 - 0
ADS
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ALM
2 - 0
INT
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
PRI
0 - 0
INT
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ASA
1 - 0
INT
16%
23%
61%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
INT
0 - 0
ASA
77%
15%
7%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Merreikh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ALM
2 - 0
INT
25%
26%
49%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
ALM
3 - 0
ALA
66%
19%
16%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 0
ALH
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
POR
1 - 2
ALM
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2010 |
ALH
3 - 2
ALM
63%
19%
17%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |