Inter Turkspor Kiel vs VfB Lübeck II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19%
26.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
14º
14º
32
8º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter Turkspor Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 0
ITK
22%
20%
57%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ITK
3 - 1
WEF
90%
7%
3%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ECK
2 - 1
ITK
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ITK
1 - 3
HOH
87%
8%
5%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VFR
2 - 2
ITK
21%
21%
58%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LUB
1 - 4
PRR
66%
17%
17%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
EIC
2 - 1
LUB
77%
14%
9%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LUB
3 - 2
UNI
16%
17%
67%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +3 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HEI
0 - 3
LUB
57%
20%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
LUB
0 - 1
FLE
17%
18%
65%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |