Inter Turkspor Kiel vs VfB Lübeck II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19%
26.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
14º
14º
32
8º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter Turkspor Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 0
ITK
22%
20%
57%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ITK
3 - 1
WEF
90%
7%
3%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ECK
2 - 1
ITK
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ITK
1 - 3
HOH
87%
8%
5%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VFR
2 - 2
ITK
21%
21%
58%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LUB
1 - 4
PRR
66%
17%
17%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
EIC
2 - 1
LUB
77%
14%
9%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LUB
3 - 2
UNI
16%
17%
67%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +3 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HEI
0 - 3
LUB
57%
20%
24%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
LUB
0 - 1
FLE
17%
18%
65%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |