Inter Playa del Carmen vs San Juan de Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
4.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
10º
8º
22
6º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
94% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 58 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
53 | 56 |
8º
|
44% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
9º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
10º
|
75.5% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 49 |
11º
|
75.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
72% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 37 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 36 |
14º
|
39.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 32 |
15º
|
34% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
89.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
35.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
64.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter Playa del Carmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
LUL
3 - 3
IPC
22%
23%
55%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
IPC
0 - 0
TAM
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MON
0 - 2
IPC
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
IPC
2 - 1
ESC
71%
17%
12%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CAF
2 - 0
IPC
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
San Juan de Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 3
PDC
12%
19%
69%
|
18 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
YFC
2 - 0
CAS
82%
11%
7%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 0
HDZ
18%
19%
62%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
REB
1 - 0
CAS
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 54 | 37 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LUL
2 - 0
CAS
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |