Inter Miami vs Toronto FC analysis

Inter Miami Toronto FC
84 ELO 76
20.1% Tilt 8.6%
232º General ELO ranking 733º
18º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
67%
Inter Miami
18.6%
Draw
14.4%
Toronto FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
Inter Miami
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.4%
Win probability
Toronto FC
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Inter Miami
+6%
-7%
Toronto FC

Points and table prediction

Inter Miami
Their league position
Toronto FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
20º
33
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Inter Miami
59
69
85.5%
LA Galaxy
52
62
32%
Cincinnati
51
62
22%
Columbus Crew
49
60
20%
Los Angeles FC
48
59
22%
Real Salt Lake
47
58
17.5%
Colorado Rapids
44
55
16.5%
Vancouver Whitecaps
10º
42
53
12.5%
Portland Timbers
12º
40
51
15.5%
Seattle Sounders
43
51
10º
9%
New York RB
43
51
11º
14.5%
Houston Dynamo
11º
41
51
12º
12.5%
New York City
13º
39
49
13º
8%
Orlando City
15º
37
48
14º
16.5%
Minnesota United
16º
36
47
15º
8%
Charlotte FC
14º
38
46
16º
9.5%
Atlanta United
21º
31
42
17º
12%
FC Dallas
17º
34
42
18º
16%
Austin FC
18º
34
42
19º
13.5%
Toronto FC
19º
33
41
20º
10.5%
Philadelphia Union
22º
30
40
21º
10.5%
DC United
20º
32
40
22º
7.5%
Sporting Kansas City
23º
28
38
23º
12.5%
New England Revolution
25º
27
38
24º
13%
CF Montréal
26º
27
38
25º
11.5%
Chicago Fire
27º
26
34
26º
19.5%
Nashville SC
28º
26
34
27º
19%
St. Louis City
24º
28
32
28º
35%
San Jose Earthquakes
29º
17
25
29º
85.5%
Expected probabilities
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
Final Series
100% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Inter Miami
Toronto FC
Austin FC
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Inter Miami
Inter Miami
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jul. 2024
CIN
Cincinnati
6 - 1
Inter Miami
IMI
48%
24%
29%
85 85 0 0
04 Jul. 2024
CHA
Charlotte FC
1 - 2
Inter Miami
IMI
34%
26%
40%
85 84 1 0
30 Jun. 2024
NSC
Nashville SC
1 - 2
Inter Miami
IMI
43%
25%
32%
85 85 0 0
20 Jun. 2024
IMI
Inter Miami
2 - 1
Columbus Crew
COC
52%
22%
26%
85 85 0 0
16 Jun. 2024
PHU
Philadelphia Union
1 - 2
Inter Miami
IMI
47%
24%
29%
85 85 0 0

Matches

Toronto FC
Toronto FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jul. 2024
TOR
Toronto FC
2 - 1
Philadelphia Union
PHU
29%
24%
47%
75 83 8 0
11 Jul. 2024
FOR
Forge
2 - 1
Toronto FC
TOR
42%
25%
34%
76 73 3 -1
07 Jul. 2024
COC
Columbus Crew
4 - 0
Toronto FC
TOR
62%
21%
17%
76 85 9 0
04 Jul. 2024
TOR
Toronto FC
1 - 2
Orlando City
ORL
33%
24%
43%
76 85 9 0
30 Jun. 2024
AFC
Atlanta United
2 - 1
Toronto FC
TOR
66%
19%
15%
76 85 9 0
X