Paulista A2 Final
Global 3-4
Inter de Limeira vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter de Limeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
XVD
2 - 2
INT
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
INT
0 - 0
XVD
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
POR
2 - 2
INT
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
INT
2 - 0
POR
36%
27%
38%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
TAU
1 - 1
INT
44%
25%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
AGU
3 - 2
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
AGU
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 2
SAN
51%
26%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
RIO
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
POR
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |