Paulista A3 Etapas Finales Final
Global 2-3
Inter de Limeira vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter de Limeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
INT
2 - 1
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
INT
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
INT
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
INT
2 - 1
DES
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
DES
1 - 1
INT
28%
24%
48%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 1
NAC
43%
25%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
OLI
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
INT
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 3
NAC
43%
26%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 0
RIO
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |