Inter de Limeira vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
37.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter de Limeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 1
INT
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
INT
0 - 1
SAO
44%
27%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
INT
1 - 2
CAT
47%
27%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 0
INT
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
INT
2 - 1
SJS
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
GRE
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 5
COM
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
COM
0 - 1
MAT
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
COM
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
COM
5 - 2
GRÊ
72%
19%
9%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |