Inter Escaldes vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
2º
1º
12
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
32 | 56 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 52 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 51 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 45 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 37 |
6º
|
58.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 32 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 32 |
8º
|
45% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 13 |
9º
|
61.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 10 |
10º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
56.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
24% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
19.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter Escaldes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 1
INT
25%
24%
50%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FCR
2 - 2
INT
15%
20%
66%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
INT
3 - 2
UES
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FCO
0 - 4
INT
12%
20%
69%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
INT
2 - 0
SCO
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 6
FCR
60%
20%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
UES
2 - 1
PEN
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 0
FCO
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SCO
2 - 1
PEN
58%
23%
20%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
4 - 1
ESA
74%
15%
11%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |