Inter Barcelona vs APA Poble Sec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
42.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
INT
2 - 0
BAR
30%
20%
50%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
DAR
2 - 3
INT
9%
14%
77%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
INT
8 - 1
MON
67%
17%
16%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
INT
7 - 0
GUI
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 2
INT
32%
21%
48%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
APA Poble Sec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
APS
35%
22%
43%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 3
APS
29%
22%
49%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
APS
3 - 2
CFB
92%
6%
2%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MON
2 - 2
APS
18%
18%
65%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
APS
4 - 3
CBX
86%
9%
5%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |