Instituto vs Sportivo Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
20.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
CDN
1 - 0
INS
35%
29%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
PAT
2 - 2
INS
30%
25%
44%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
INS
2 - 1
ALM
58%
25%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
CAU
2 - 0
INS
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
INS
1 - 1
TAL
56%
25%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2014 |
SPB
4 - 2
DYJ
26%
27%
47%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
IND
3 - 2
SPB
61%
24%
16%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
SPB
1 - 0
FER
37%
29%
34%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SMA
1 - 0
SPB
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
SPB
0 - 0
GIM
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |