Instituto vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
38.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
CAU
0 - 0
INS
56%
25%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2008 |
INS
2 - 2
BHU
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
RAF
4 - 1
INS
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
INS
2 - 1
IRV
37%
27%
37%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
GOD
3 - 0
INS
69%
20%
12%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
BHU
2 - 1
QUI
26%
28%
46%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
QUI
3 - 2
IRV
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
TAL
2 - 1
QUI
31%
28%
41%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
QUI
0 - 4
ALD
60%
24%
17%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
ALM
2 - 1
QUI
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |