Instituto vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
45.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2008 |
FER
1 - 0
INS
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2008 |
INS
0 - 1
SMA
35%
29%
37%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
CAI
0 - 0
INS
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
INS
2 - 0
QUI
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
CAU
0 - 0
INS
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2008 |
SMA
1 - 1
CHI
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
CHI
0 - 0
QUI
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
BHU
0 - 2
CHI
22%
26%
52%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 2
IRV
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2008 |
TAL
1 - 0
CHI
25%
26%
50%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -1 |