Instituto vs Indep. Rivadavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
INS
2 - 2
BEL
32%
29%
39%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
INS
0 - 2
TAL
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 0
INS
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
INS
1 - 0
PAT
49%
28%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
GLP
0 - 0
INS
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
IRV
0 - 1
PAT
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ATT
0 - 0
IRV
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
IRV
0 - 1
OLI
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
IRV
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
IRV
0 - 2
BAN
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |