Instituto vs Indep. Rivadavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
27.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 0
INS
36%
29%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
INS
1 - 2
MER
54%
27%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
FER
1 - 1
INS
34%
29%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
INS
1 - 1
CAI
54%
27%
20%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
RAF
4 - 0
INS
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
IRV
3 - 1
BUC
44%
26%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
IRV
3 - 0
PAT
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 0
IRV
44%
26%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
IRV
0 - 1
MER
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
FER
1 - 0
IRV
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |