Instituto vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
25.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
HUR
2 - 2
INS
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
INS
1 - 1
CDN
61%
24%
15%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
BUC
1 - 1
INS
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 1
INS
17%
22%
61%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
INS
0 - 1
DHA
60%
25%
16%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CDN
1 - 1
FER
30%
29%
41%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2013 |
FER
0 - 0
DHA
45%
30%
25%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
FER
0 - 0
CAD
57%
25%
17%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 0
FER
44%
29%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
FER
0 - 0
IRV
39%
31%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |