Instituto vs Douglas Haig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CSE
1 - 0
INS
32%
28%
40%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
INS
2 - 1
CDN
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SMA
1 - 1
INS
29%
28%
44%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
INS
2 - 3
CHA
42%
26%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 0
INS
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
DHA
0 - 1
ARG
32%
30%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 1
DHA
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
DHA
1 - 0
GIM
39%
30%
31%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
AND
1 - 0
DHA
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
JUV
5 - 1
DHA
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |