Instituto vs Douglas Haig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
16%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SAR
2 - 3
INS
34%
29%
38%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
INS
2 - 3
ALM
47%
30%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2013 |
MER
1 - 1
INS
28%
28%
43%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
INS
0 - 0
IRV
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
INS
1 - 1
IRV
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 3
DHA
57%
26%
17%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
DHA
3 - 0
IRV
30%
27%
42%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2013 |
PAT
1 - 0
DHA
68%
20%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
ATT
3 - 2
DHA
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
GLP
3 - 0
DHA
66%
20%
15%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |