Instituto vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
17.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
POL
4 - 1
INS
8%
17%
75%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 1
INS
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2011 |
INS
1 - 1
IRV
52%
28%
21%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ALM
0 - 0
INS
31%
29%
41%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2011 |
INS
3 - 0
BUC
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 2
MER
12%
22%
66%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
MER
3 - 1
ATL
36%
29%
35%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
GLP
3 - 0
MER
62%
24%
14%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MER
1 - 2
DYJ
33%
30%
38%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
DES
1 - 1
MER
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |