Instituto vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
35.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
IND
2 - 0
INS
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
INS
0 - 0
FER
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
SMA
2 - 1
INS
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
INS
2 - 1
GIM
57%
26%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SPB
0 - 0
INS
33%
27%
39%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
DYJ
4 - 0
DHA
65%
22%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
DYJ
0 - 0
IND
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2013 |
FER
1 - 0
DYJ
22%
28%
50%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
DYJ
3 - 0
SMA
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
GIM
1 - 1
DYJ
28%
28%
44%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |