Instituto vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.4%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
26.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ALD
0 - 0
INS
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
INS
2 - 0
GIM
47%
30%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
CAU
1 - 0
INS
42%
28%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
INS
1 - 1
TFE
46%
29%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
ATT
1 - 2
INS
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
DYJ
1 - 0
BUC
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2010 |
IRV
3 - 1
DYJ
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
DYJ
3 - 1
CHA
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
MER
1 - 0
DYJ
28%
29%
42%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
DYJ
1 - 1
FER
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |