Instituto vs Chacarita Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
12.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
INS
3 - 2
VSC
66%
22%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2014 |
BAN
0 - 0
INS
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
INS
1 - 0
HUR
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
IRV
1 - 2
INS
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
INS
2 - 2
ATT
46%
29%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chacarita Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 1
FLA
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 0
CHA
29%
31%
41%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 2
MOR
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
UAI
0 - 0
CHA
33%
29%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 0
EST
46%
29%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |