Instituto vs CAI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
19.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
RAF
4 - 0
INS
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
INS
3 - 3
CEN
39%
30%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SMA
2 - 3
INS
39%
29%
32%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
INS
0 - 0
BEL
35%
30%
35%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SMA
2 - 0
INS
44%
28%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CAI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 3
BUC
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
IRV
0 - 0
CAI
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 3
CHA
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
CAI
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CAI
0 - 3
FER
41%
28%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |