Instituto vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
49.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
PAT
3 - 2
INS
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2013 |
INS
0 - 2
GLP
32%
30%
38%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ATT
2 - 0
INS
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
INS
2 - 0
ALD
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 1
INS
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
GLP
1 - 0
CEN
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 0
ALD
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
GIM
0 - 3
CEN
24%
27%
49%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 1
DYJ
58%
25%
18%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
FER
0 - 0
CEN
19%
28%
53%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |