Instituto vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1981 |
RIV
2 - 5
INS
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1981 |
INS
1 - 0
TAL
48%
22%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
IND
2 - 1
INS
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
INS
2 - 1
RAC
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1981 |
NOB
3 - 0
INS
67%
18%
15%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1981 |
BOC
0 - 0
ESP
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
TAL
1 - 0
BOC
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1981 |
RAC
1 - 1
BOC
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
BOC
3 - 2
CEN
64%
22%
15%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
FER
0 - 0
BOC
58%
23%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |