Instituto vs Banfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
50.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
CAI
0 - 1
INS
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
INS
1 - 1
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
INS
3 - 1
CAU
42%
26%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2004 |
GOD
1 - 0
INS
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
INS
1 - 3
SMA
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Banfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
ARS
1 - 1
BAN
42%
28%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
BAN
1 - 1
CEN
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
EST
0 - 2
BAN
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
BAN
3 - 1
GLP
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 2
BAN
40%
28%
33%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |