Instituto vs Brown Adrogué analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
20.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
DHA
1 - 1
INS
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
INS
1 - 2
CSE
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CDN
1 - 2
INS
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
INS
1 - 1
SMA
69%
21%
11%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
INS
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
BRO
0 - 0
GIM
39%
29%
31%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
AND
1 - 1
BRO
49%
27%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BRO
1 - 1
JUV
50%
25%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 1
BRO
32%
30%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BRO
2 - 0
RSA
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +2 |