Instituto vs Brown Adrogué analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
20.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
PAT
0 - 0
INS
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
DHA
1 - 0
INS
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
IRV
1 - 1
INS
39%
28%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
INS
1 - 0
CEN
23%
27%
49%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
PAT
3 - 2
INS
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
BRO
1 - 3
DYJ
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
IND
1 - 2
BRO
68%
21%
11%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
ALM
2 - 0
BRO
40%
29%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
BRO
2 - 0
ALM
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 1
BRO
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |