Instituto vs Boca Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
BRO
2 - 0
INS
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
INS
2 - 1
PAT
50%
28%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
INS
2 - 0
DHA
56%
26%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
INS
1 - 2
TAL
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
INS
1 - 1
DYJ
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
BUC
2 - 1
DYJ
29%
28%
43%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
IND
1 - 1
BUC
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
BUC
0 - 0
FER
43%
29%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
BUC
1 - 1
SMA
34%
30%
37%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
GIM
1 - 0
BUC
33%
28%
40%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |