Instituto vs Ben Hur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
RAF
4 - 1
INS
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
INS
2 - 1
IRV
37%
27%
37%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
GOD
3 - 0
INS
69%
20%
12%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
INS
3 - 1
TAL
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
BEL
2 - 2
INS
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ben Hur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
IRV
1 - 1
BHU
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
BHU
1 - 0
TAL
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
ALD
2 - 0
BHU
61%
23%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
BHU
0 - 2
ALM
34%
28%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
PLA
0 - 1
BHU
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |