Instituto vs Atl. Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.6%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
28.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ALD
2 - 2
INS
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
INS
2 - 0
HUR
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
INS
1 - 0
IRV
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 0
INS
36%
29%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
INS
1 - 2
MER
54%
27%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ATT
0 - 0
ATL
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
GLP
3 - 2
ATT
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2011 |
ATT
0 - 1
CHA
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
MER
3 - 2
ATT
31%
30%
40%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
ATT
0 - 0
FER
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |