Instituto vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
39.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
COL
1 - 1
INS
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
INS
0 - 0
BAN
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2005 |
NOB
5 - 0
INS
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
INS
1 - 4
RIV
23%
25%
53%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2005 |
TFE
2 - 1
INS
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
ARS
1 - 2
LAN
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
CEN
1 - 1
ARS
49%
27%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2005 |
ARS
4 - 1
BOC
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
OLI
0 - 0
ARS
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2005 |
ARS
2 - 4
IND
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |