Instituto vs Almirante Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
23.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2013 |
MER
1 - 1
INS
28%
28%
43%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
INS
0 - 0
IRV
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
INS
1 - 1
IRV
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
INS
2 - 2
BEL
32%
29%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
INS
0 - 2
TAL
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2013 |
IRV
3 - 0
ALM
44%
29%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
PAT
0 - 0
ALM
51%
27%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ALM
2 - 0
SAR
45%
27%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 1
ATT
46%
29%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 0
ALM
57%
24%
18%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |