Instituto vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
22.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
INS
2 - 1
CHA
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
TIG
0 - 3
INS
69%
20%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
INS
1 - 1
BRO
50%
27%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 0
INS
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
PAT
1 - 1
INS
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
ALM
1 - 0
GIM
49%
29%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 2
ALM
44%
29%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ALM
0 - 2
RIE
45%
29%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
SAR
0 - 1
ALM
61%
23%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ALM
0 - 0
DAL
36%
29%
35%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |