Institute vs Warrenpoint Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
INS
1 - 0
COL
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
BAL
6 - 1
INS
72%
16%
11%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
LIN
2 - 0
INS
76%
15%
8%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CLI
1 - 0
INS
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
INS
2 - 0
DUN
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Warrenpoint Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
BAL
0 - 0
WAR
36%
23%
41%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 2
WAR
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
ARD
0 - 1
WAR
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
WAR
1 - 3
CRU
9%
17%
74%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
WAR
3 - 1
LTO
87%
9%
4%
|
54 | 22 | 32 | 0 |