Institute vs Portstewart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
43.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
INS
0 - 0
NEW
19%
24%
57%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
QUB
0 - 1
INS
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
INS
1 - 2
BAL
16%
21%
63%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
INS
0 - 3
DUN
33%
24%
43%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
KNO
2 - 2
INS
59%
20%
21%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Portstewart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
MOY
2 - 0
POR
31%
24%
45%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
POR
3 - 1
PSN
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
ARC
3 - 1
POR
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
POR
6 - 1
DOL
44%
25%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LIM
2 - 0
POR
33%
24%
43%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |