Institute vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
45.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
HAR
4 - 1
INS
54%
22%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
INS
4 - 0
BAN
22%
24%
55%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
ARD
2 - 3
INS
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
INS
2 - 0
DER
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
CLI
3 - 0
INS
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
KNO
82%
12%
6%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
POR
5 - 2
HAR
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
NEY
0 - 2
POR
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
POR
1 - 3
DUN
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
POR
4 - 1
COA
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |