Institute vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
INS
0 - 1
ARD
62%
22%
17%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 1
INS
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
INS
2 - 1
WAR
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
INS
1 - 0
COL
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
BAL
6 - 1
INS
72%
16%
11%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 2
GLE
26%
26%
47%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
WAR
2 - 4
NEW
68%
18%
13%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
NEW
3 - 0
ARD
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 1
GLE
10%
19%
71%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 4
COL
12%
22%
67%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |