Institute vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
55.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
INS
0 - 1
GLE
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
INS
1 - 1
BAL
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
BMF
2 - 3
INS
41%
26%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
INS
1 - 0
DER
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
SYL
0 - 3
INS
31%
24%
45%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
LIS
4 - 1
DUN
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
LIS
2 - 4
CRU
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
BAL
0 - 1
LIS
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
LIS
2 - 2
GLE
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
LIS
1 - 1
CLI
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |