Institute vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
55.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
INS
2 - 3
CLI
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
INS
2 - 0
COL
49%
26%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
DUN
2 - 2
INS
36%
26%
39%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
INS
2 - 0
LIM
77%
16%
8%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
HAR
0 - 1
INS
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
COL
1 - 2
LIN
20%
23%
57%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
GLE
2 - 3
LIN
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
POR
3 - 0
LIN
32%
26%
43%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -2 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
AIK
2 - 0
LIN
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 0
AIK
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |