Institute vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
58.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
POR
0 - 0
INS
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
INS
2 - 1
LIS
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
NEW
3 - 1
INS
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
INS
0 - 1
DUN
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
DUN
0 - 0
INS
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
LIN
4 - 1
GLE
67%
21%
13%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
GLE
2 - 2
LIN
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
LIN
0 - 1
CRU
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
COL
2 - 2
LIN
29%
25%
47%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
LIN
0 - 3
RAN
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |